The Atlanta Hawks take on the New York Knicks in an intriguing Eastern Conference matchup on Wednesday evening. The Hawks are 29-29 overall and 15-11 at home this season, with the matchup set for State Farm Arena in Atlanta. The Knicks are 32-27 overall and 16-12 on the road. Mitchell Robinson (thumb) is out for the Knicks, while John Collins (hip) is questionable to play for the Hawks.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a 3.5-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 233.5 in the latest Knicks vs. Hawks odds. Before you make any Hawks vs. Knicks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 55-29 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Hawks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Knicks vs. Hawks:

Knicks vs. Hawks spread: Hawks -3.5
Knicks vs. Hawks over/under: 233.5 points
Knicks vs. Hawks money line: Atlanta -165, New York +140
NYK: The Knicks are 18-10 against the spread in road games
ATL: The Hawks are 12-14 against the spread in home games
Knicks vs. Hawks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks

Why the Knicks can cover

New York isn’t afraid to be on the road and the results reflect that comfort. The Knicks have the best against the spread record (18-10) on the road in the NBA, and are winning more than 57% of road games this season. New York has elite strengths on defense, including top-five marks in points allowed in the paint (44.6 per game), field goal percentage allowed (45.6%), and fast break points allowed (12.6 per game).

On the offensive end, the results are even better, including a top-eight mark in the NBA in efficiency with 115.6 points per 100 possessions. New York is leading the league in second-chance points, averaging 17.1 per game, and is No. 2 in offensive rebound rate (32.2%). The Knicks also rank in the top four of the NBA in turnover rate (12.9%) and free throw creation (25.7 per game), with the Hawks struggling to a bottom-10 defense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta’s defense has areas to attack in this matchup. The Hawks are in the top eight of the NBA in 3-point defense, with opponents shooting only 34.9% from beyond the arc against Atlanta. New York is soundly below-average in field goal percentage (46.1%), 3-point percentage (34.6%), free throw percentage (77.0%), and assists (22.5 per game) on the offensive end, making things easier for the Hawks.

On the opposite side, the Hawks are scoring more than 1.21 points per possession in the last 15 games, the second-best mark in the NBA over that span. Atlanta takes care of the ball with an elite 12.6% turnover rate, and the Hawks are in the top five with 1.92 assists for every turnover. New York ranks in the bottom five in turnover creation rate, and the Hawks knock down 81.7% of free throw attempts. Atlanta also shoots almost 48% from the field and averages nearly 53 points in the paint per game.

How to make Knicks vs. Hawks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, with only five players projected to score 15 points or more. The model also says one side of the spread has all of the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Hawks vs. Knicks? And which side of the spread has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Knicks vs. Hawks spread you need to jump on Wednesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.